The number of times the S&P 500 crossed above its moving average and the average performance during the next 10 bars. In this post, we will show you how to create and backtest this trading pattern.
- Select "Analysis" then "Rules Manager"
- Create a new list of rules then add the following rule: Cross(close, sma(close, 10))
(Close price crosses above its 10-Bar moving average)
- Click on "Analyze the list"
- Select the Start & End dates then add "^GSPC" (ticker symbol of the S&P 500) in the Symbols Panel.
- Select "Outputs" then click on "Select Outputs/Exit rules"
- Select "Performance, use N-Bar..." then add the following output: Buy then sell after 10 bars
- Click on "Ok" then "Continue" to start the simulation process
The Quantitative Analysis shows that:
- This pattern occurred 132 times
- The average output/return for the next 10 bars is 0.027%
- The percent of positive positions is 53.03%
Patterns that occur while a position is not yet closed are not counted. This means that if at T-10, a pattern occurs then a T-12 another pattern occurs, the second one will be ignored because the holding period of a position, as specified in the output form, is equal to 10. Only patterns that occur at or after T-20 are counted.